Good Craps Bets That Won’t Make You Rich, But Won’t Bleed You Dry Either
First off, the dice don’t care about your hopes, they only care about probability, and the 45‑45‑10 split for Pass, Don’t Pass and the field is the cold arithmetic you should respect.
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Take a table where the minimum bet is £5 and the maximum is £200; the Pass Line’s house edge sits at a tidy 1.41 %, which means a £100 stake on average loses £1.41 per roll – not a fortune, but it’s better than the 5 % you’d hand over on a single high‑roll proposition.
And the Come bet mirrors the Pass Line exactly, but you can place it after a point is established, giving you a second chance to lock in that 1.41 % edge without waiting for a fresh shooter.
But the odds bet – the free‑bet that comes after a point – is where the maths becomes almost charitable; a 2‑to‑1 payout on a 4 or 10 point reduces the overall edge on the combined Pass‑Line‑Odds to roughly 0.85 % when you take the maximum 3 × odds.
Because the casino loves to flaunt “free” promotions, you’ll see a “VIP” gift of 5 % extra odds on select tables at Bet365, yet the underlying maths remains unchanged – they simply disguise the same house advantage with a larger headline number.
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Now, contrast that with the “any 7” bet: it pays 4 : 1, but the probability of a 7 is 6/36 or 16.67 %, giving a brutal 16 % house edge – a perfect illustration of why a bright banner shouldn’t fool you into thinking it’s a good craps bet.
Or consider the Hardways. A hard 8 pays 9 : 1, yet the chance of rolling a hard 8 is 2/36 = 5.56 %, making the edge a staggering 11 % – a miser’s nightmare that some newbies chase after watching a slot like Gonzo’s Quest explode with high volatility.
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Comparatively, the “Buy” version of the Place bet on a 6 or 8 offers a 1.52 % edge if you pay a 5 % commission, a marginally better deal than the standard Place bet’s 1.52 % edge without commission, but the difference is a fraction of a pound on a £20 wager.
When you stack a proposition bet with a Pass Line, the combined edge can swell to over 5 % – for example, a £10 Pass Line plus a £5 Any 7 bet yields an expected loss of £0.76 on that round, which is essentially a double‑dip into the house’s coffers.
- Pass Line – 1.41 % edge
- Come – 1.41 % edge
- Odds (maximum 3 ×) – reduces edge to ~0.85 %
- Place 6/8 – 1.52 % edge
- Buy 6/8 – 1.52 % edge (with 5 % commission)
William Hill’s live craps streams often highlight the “big 6/8” bet, which pays 7 : 1, but the probability is 5/36, delivering an edge of about 9 % – a classic bait that sounds attractive until you crunch the numbers.
Because players love easy wins, the “field” bet’s 2 : 1 payout on 2, 3, 4, 9, 10, 11, 12 looks tempting, yet the house edge hovers around 5.5 % on a standard table, and climbs to 6 % if a double‑pay on 12 is omitted.
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And then there’s the “big 8” bet, which mirrors the “big 6” in both payout and probability, meaning you’re essentially paying the same 6 % edge twice if you place both simultaneously.
Meanwhile, the “hop” bet – predicting the exact outcome of the next roll – pays 15 : 1 for a specific number, but the 1/36 chance translates to a staggering 16 % edge, which is why seasoned shooters avoid it like a bad haircut.
When you compare the speed of a dice roll to a spin on Starburst, you’ll notice the latter’s two‑second whirl feels faster, but the craps table’s 10‑second pause after each roll actually gives you time to calculate the exact expectation of each bet.
Because the casino industry loves to mask these losses with loyalty points, 888casino will hand out “free” chips that can be wagered on a separate “low‑risk” game, yet the conversion rate is usually 0.01 £ per point, rendering the gesture about as useful as a complimentary toothbrush in a five‑star hotel.
And if you ever think a “big bet” on the horns (2 : 1 on any 2‑die combination of 2, 3, 11, 12) is a solid strategy, remember it’s a 11 % edge – a numbers‑cruncher’s nightmare wrapped in a glossy promotional banner.
Because I’ve seen countless novices chase the 30 % payout on a “hard 12” and then wonder why their bankroll evaporates, I’ll point out that the probability is a paltry 1/36, giving an edge of roughly 13 % – a brutal lesson in why flashy numbers are rarely good craps bets.
But the true art lies in knowing when to walk away; a £50 pass line with 3 × odds and a modest side bet on the “any craps” (2 : 1 payout) still leaves you with an overall edge under 2 %, which is as close to “good” as the odds ever get on a game designed to skim pennies.
And finally, the UI in the latest Betfair live craps app uses a font size of 9 pt for the “Place Bet” button, which is absurdly tiny and makes it a pain to tap accurately on a mobile screen.
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